politics
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Ли Чжэ Мён арестован до 2027 года?
Контекст рынка
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вероятность Да
50.0%
Объём$5,721
Ликвидность$71,342
Финиш31.12
История цены
Вероятность Да во времени
онлайн
Снимок рынка
Текущее распределение вероятностей
2 исходов
Нет
89.9%
Нет
10.1%
Последние сделки
0 записей
Пока нет сделок.
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Источник разрешения рынка
Polymarket
